Maher's Digital World

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11
Chit Chat / Re: What kind of meat (or cheese) is it?
« Last post by scarface on September 11, 2019, 02:15 PM »
Tonight, I'm going to show you another cheese.


Look carefully at the picture below. What you see is exceptional indeed.
shadow.97 must be wondering if it is a piece of Gouda, while aa1234779 must be thinking it's a large chunk of Emmental.

Actually, what you see in an old Cantal.
One of the oldest cheeses in France,Cantal dates back to the times of the Gauls. It came to prominence when Marshal Henri de La Ferté-Senneterre served it at the table of Louis XIV.
Cantal is made from cow's milk and is aged for several months. The form is massive, and the cheese has a soft interior. Its flavor, which is somewhat reminiscent of Cheddar, is a strong, tangy butter taste and grows with age. A well ripened Cantal has a vigorous taste, while a young cheese has the sweetness of raw milk.

You can eat it with some good bread along with wine. For example you can choose a bottle of Boulaouane. This is the last wine that I drank with my father in a restaurant and I remember it's an excellent wine for a decent price.
If by any chance you are drinking some boulaouane, you'll tell me what you think of this wine.
12
Microsoft Windows / Re: Windows 7 Component Store Cleanup - Rebase
« Last post by scarface on September 11, 2019, 01:51 PM »
Tonight, windows 7 x64 Professional SP1 Tunisia edition with the latest updates is available.

Some users of the forum like Vasudev were eagerly waiting for it.
As usual, it contains many reg tweaks, netfx 3.5 and netfx 4.8, dx9 (and 11) and many programs.
It was updated with the September 2019 updates, 7zip 19.00, winrar 3.71 full, Visual C++ Redist...
Many drivers were updated (intel graphics drivers were not integrated).
Windows defender and UAC are disabled by default.
The useless recovery file winre.wim and a few obsolete drivers (printers, mdm, wia) were deleted.
Fx sound enhancer was added (full version).
Harkaz's rebase was not used in this version.

New: the game "Mastermind" and Ultraiso were added.
Subtitles Edit was updated to v3.5.10. abbodi1406's Visual C++ Redist was updated to v0.24.


Link: https://mega.nz/#!ZEkAwQAS!nh98gXCNZVveXdVUR5E9WIzac3gEaI4Ezw7Ez8pCplg




If you have activation problems: https://mega.nz/#!PXZHTIzB!QUp86oPcQJkj4dBgctKa7aQB9KjlAHpjUblN6yUWr2E


Rebase 1.3 for windows 7x64 with its tutorial by harkaz.
An essential program to slim down Windows 7.
Link: https://mega.nz/#!EUEQFQja!Zc1idDsCZXVzHuYHGpthefz_o82bMOgn7OdisvNsK_A


Note that you can still download xp here (an updated, lite version of Maher’s edition which includes every update):
kb4012598 and wmp11 with its updates have been integrated. What’s more, some visual tweaks were applied as you can see on the screenshot below.
Finally, a few unneeded elements were removed (the list is available in the nlite log in the iso file).
Link: https://mega.nz/#!8NUmVCaQ!PzrY8hsTD5XRV8OoNaczvqxIqr_eOOxhHN8_obmbeqM




Here is office 2007 with all the updates, till August 2018 (it’s a switch-less installer).
https://mega.nz/#!zmpCHSzI!NRfwpk_B8zIa515gPIpKQarA3Ry50zuCAk_OcHjiqyc

And here is the MUI pack for office 2007. it includes many languages (notably French, German, italian, Japan, Russian, Arabic). With this pack you can change the user interface language of office 2007 by using the “Microsoft Office 2007 Language Settings”. It's practically impossible to find it today.
https://mega.nz/#!BQ8RiShY!y_DsGSaTFzYQ5pJfLB-lIWqzpb9LmE2N1j1G2dP8Kj4





https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lPVBrRd9wCo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-apD1rZTUv0




13
Chit Chat / Re: best clips
« Last post by scarface on September 11, 2019, 01:38 PM »
Tonight, new videos are available for the users of the forum.


Central Sweden - documentary
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v5NahNrIaiE


Collapse: A very interesting video about the scenario of Arthur Keller.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qPb_0JZ6-Rc


Venezuela holds anti-invasion drills at border
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WdNnp2tGuZk


The War on Plastic isn’t working – recycling myths exposed
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vhwc9V0fML4


La Roux - Bulletproof (Dave Aude Club Mix)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eLJB4pM9Jj0
14
Microsoft Windows / Re: Windows 7 Component Store Cleanup - Rebase
« Last post by scarface on September 11, 2019, 11:05 AM »
Today, a new version of windows 10 x64 pro Lite RS6 with September 2019 updates is available ("19H1" for Vasudev)


As usual, it contains many reg tweaks, netfx 3.5, netfx 4.8, dx9 (and 12) and many programs.
Note: in this edition you'll find many more programs like the latest releases of vlc, firefox, handbrake, cdisplay (custom made edition of SF), Sumatra, Flashplayer...
It's also activated by default.
Nothing was deleted in winsxs and to obtain such a size, install.wim was converted into esd.
As usual, It also contains 7zip 19.00, winrar 3.71, Treesize free, subtitles edit, Visual C++ Redist...and the latest drivers.
list of the embedded drivers here: https://justpaste.it/3ke4l
Note that the intel graphics drivers are not integrated any more.
Nothing was removed (but a script was run to remove the useless appx and provisioned packages).
Fx sound enhancer v13.025 was added (full version).
Windows defender is disabled by default but can be re-enabled again via gpedit.msc.
Note that the new feature Windows Defender Tamper protection was deactivated too.

New: the game "Mastermind" and Ultraiso (full version) were added. Subtitles Edit was updated to v3.5.10.
abbodi1406's Visual C++ Redist was updated to v0.24.
Some drivers were updated.

Here is the script used to remove provisioned apps (the "Sysprep" switch was used).
Code: [Select]
#This function finds any AppX/AppXProvisioned package and uninstalls it, except for Freshpaint, Windows Calculator, Windows Store, and Windows Photos.
#Also, to note - This does NOT remove essential system services/software/etc such as .NET framework installations, Cortana, Edge, etc.

#This is the switch parameter for running this script as a 'silent' script, for use in MDT images or any type of mass deployment without user interaction.

param (
  [switch]$Debloat, [switch]$SysPrep
)

Function Begin-SysPrep {

    param([switch]$SysPrep)
        Write-Verbose -Message ('Starting Sysprep Fixes')
 
        # Disable Windows Store Automatic Updates
       <# Write-Verbose -Message "Adding Registry key to Disable Windows Store Automatic Updates"
        $registryPath = "HKLM:\SOFTWARE\Policies\Microsoft\WindowsStore"
        If (!(Test-Path $registryPath)) {
            Mkdir $registryPath -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
            New-ItemProperty $registryPath -Name AutoDownload -Value 2
        }
        Else {
            Set-ItemProperty $registryPath -Name AutoDownload -Value 2
        }
        #Stop WindowsStore Installer Service and set to Disabled
        Write-Verbose -Message ('Stopping InstallService')
        Stop-Service InstallService
        #>
 }

#Creates a PSDrive to be able to access the 'HKCR' tree
New-PSDrive -Name HKCR -PSProvider Registry -Root HKEY_CLASSES_ROOT
Function Start-Debloat {
   
    param([switch]$Debloat)

    #Removes AppxPackages
    #Credit to Reddit user /u/GavinEke for a modified version of my whitelist code
    [regex]$WhitelistedApps = 'Microsoft.ScreenSketch|Microsoft.Paint3D|Microsoft.WindowsCalculator|Microsoft.WindowsStore|Microsoft.Windows.Photos|CanonicalGroupLimited.UbuntuonWindows|`
    Microsoft.MicrosoftStickyNotes|Microsoft.MSPaint|Microsoft.WindowsCamera|.NET|Framework|Microsoft.HEIFImageExtension|Microsoft.ScreenSketch|Microsoft.StorePurchaseApp|`
    Microsoft.VP9VideoExtensions|Microsoft.WebMediaExtensions|Microsoft.WebpImageExtension|Microsoft.DesktopAppInstaller'
    Get-AppxPackage -AllUsers | Where-Object {$_.Name -NotMatch $WhitelistedApps} | Remove-AppxPackage -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    # Run this again to avoid error on 1803 or having to reboot.
    Get-AppxPackage -AllUsers | Where-Object {$_.Name -NotMatch $WhitelistedApps} | Remove-AppxPackage -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    $AppxRemoval = Get-AppxProvisionedPackage -Online | Where-Object {$_.PackageName -NotMatch $WhitelistedApps}
    ForEach ( $App in $AppxRemoval) {
   
        Remove-AppxProvisionedPackage -Online -PackageName $App.PackageName
       
        }
}

Function Remove-Keys {
       
    Param([switch]$Debloat)   
   
    #These are the registry keys that it will delete.
       
    $Keys = @(
       
        #Remove Background Tasks
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.BackgroundTasks\PackageId\46928bounde.EclipseManager_2.2.4.51_neutral__a5h4egax66k6y"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.BackgroundTasks\PackageId\ActiproSoftwareLLC.562882FEEB491_2.6.18.18_neutral__24pqs290vpjk0"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.BackgroundTasks\PackageId\Microsoft.MicrosoftOfficeHub_17.7909.7600.0_x64__8wekyb3d8bbwe"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.BackgroundTasks\PackageId\Microsoft.PPIProjection_10.0.15063.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.BackgroundTasks\PackageId\Microsoft.XboxGameCallableUI_1000.15063.0.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.BackgroundTasks\PackageId\Microsoft.XboxGameCallableUI_1000.16299.15.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
       
        #Windows File
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.File\PackageId\ActiproSoftwareLLC.562882FEEB491_2.6.18.18_neutral__24pqs290vpjk0"
       
        #Registry keys to delete if they aren't uninstalled by RemoveAppXPackage/RemoveAppXProvisionedPackage
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Launch\PackageId\46928bounde.EclipseManager_2.2.4.51_neutral__a5h4egax66k6y"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Launch\PackageId\ActiproSoftwareLLC.562882FEEB491_2.6.18.18_neutral__24pqs290vpjk0"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Launch\PackageId\Microsoft.PPIProjection_10.0.15063.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Launch\PackageId\Microsoft.XboxGameCallableUI_1000.15063.0.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Launch\PackageId\Microsoft.XboxGameCallableUI_1000.16299.15.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
       
        #Scheduled Tasks to delete
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.PreInstalledConfigTask\PackageId\Microsoft.MicrosoftOfficeHub_17.7909.7600.0_x64__8wekyb3d8bbwe"
       
        #Windows Protocol Keys
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Protocol\PackageId\ActiproSoftwareLLC.562882FEEB491_2.6.18.18_neutral__24pqs290vpjk0"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Protocol\PackageId\Microsoft.PPIProjection_10.0.15063.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Protocol\PackageId\Microsoft.XboxGameCallableUI_1000.15063.0.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.Protocol\PackageId\Microsoft.XboxGameCallableUI_1000.16299.15.0_neutral_neutral_cw5n1h2txyewy"
           
        #Windows Share Target
        "HKCR:\Extensions\ContractId\Windows.ShareTarget\PackageId\ActiproSoftwareLLC.562882FEEB491_2.6.18.18_neutral__24pqs290vpjk0"
    )
   
    #This writes the output of each key it is removing and also removes the keys listed above.
    ForEach ($Key in $Keys) {
        Write-Output "Removing $Key from registry"
        Remove-Item $Key -Recurse -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    }
}
       
Function Protect-Privacy {
   
    Param([switch]$Debloat)   

    #Creates a PSDrive to be able to access the 'HKCR' tree
    New-PSDrive -Name HKCR -PSProvider Registry -Root HKEY_CLASSES_ROOT
       
    #Disables Windows Feedback Experience
    Write-Output "Disabling Windows Feedback Experience program"
    $Advertising = 'HKLM:\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\AdvertisingInfo'
    If (Test-Path $Advertising) {
        Set-ItemProperty $Advertising -Name Enabled -Value 0 -Verbose
    }
       
    #Stops Cortana from being used as part of your Windows Search Function
    Write-Output "Stopping Cortana from being used as part of your Windows Search Function"
    $Search = 'HKLM:\SOFTWARE\Policies\Microsoft\Windows\Windows Search'
    If (Test-Path $Search) {
        Set-ItemProperty $Search -Name AllowCortana -Value 0 -Verbose
    }
       
    #Stops the Windows Feedback Experience from sending anonymous data
    Write-Output "Stopping the Windows Feedback Experience program"
    $Period1 = 'HKCU:\Software\Microsoft\Siuf'
    $Period2 = 'HKCU:\Software\Microsoft\Siuf\Rules'
    $Period3 = 'HKCU:\Software\Microsoft\Siuf\Rules\PeriodInNanoSeconds'
    If (!(Test-Path $Period3)) {
        mkdir $Period1 -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
        mkdir $Period2 -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
        mkdir $Period3 -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
        New-ItemProperty $Period3 -Name PeriodInNanoSeconds -Value 0 -Verbose -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    }
               
    Write-Output "Adding Registry key to prevent bloatware apps from returning"
    #Prevents bloatware applications from returning
    $registryPath = "HKLM:\SOFTWARE\Policies\Microsoft\Windows\CloudContent"
    If (!(Test-Path $registryPath)) {
        Mkdir $registryPath -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
        New-ItemProperty $registryPath -Name DisableWindowsConsumerFeatures -Value 1 -Verbose -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    }         
   
    Write-Output "Setting Mixed Reality Portal value to 0 so that you can uninstall it in Settings"
    $Holo = 'HKCU:\Software\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\Holographic'   
    If (Test-Path $Holo) {
        Set-ItemProperty $Holo -Name FirstRunSucceeded -Value 0 -Verbose
    }
   
    #Disables live tiles
    Write-Output "Disabling live tiles"
    $Live = 'HKCU:\SOFTWARE\Policies\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\PushNotifications'   
    If (!(Test-Path $Live)) {
        mkdir $Live -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue     
        New-ItemProperty $Live -Name NoTileApplicationNotification -Value 1 -Verbose
    }
   
    #Turns off Data Collection via the AllowTelemtry key by changing it to 0
    Write-Output "Turning off Data Collection"
    $DataCollection = 'HKLM:\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\Policies\DataCollection'   
    If (Test-Path $DataCollection) {
        Set-ItemProperty $DataCollection -Name AllowTelemetry -Value 0 -Verbose
    }
   
    #Disables People icon on Taskbar
    Write-Output "Disabling People icon on Taskbar"
    $People = 'HKCU:\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\Explorer\Advanced\People'
    If (Test-Path $People) {
        Set-ItemProperty $People -Name PeopleBand -Value 0 -Verbose
    }

    #Disables suggestions on start menu
    Write-Output "Disabling suggestions on the Start Menu"
    $Suggestions = 'HKCU:\Software\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\ContentDeliveryManager'   
    If (Test-Path $Suggestions) {
        Set-ItemProperty $Suggestions -Name SystemPaneSuggestionsEnabled -Value 0 -Verbose
    }
   
   
     Write-Output "Removing CloudStore from registry if it exists"
     $CloudStore = 'HKCUSoftware\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\CloudStore'
     If (Test-Path $CloudStore) {
     Stop-Process Explorer.exe -Force
     Remove-Item $CloudStore
     Start-Process Explorer.exe -Wait
    }

    #Loads the registry keys/values below into the NTUSER.DAT file which prevents the apps from redownloading. Credit to a60wattfish
    reg load HKU\Default_User C:\Users\Default\NTUSER.DAT
    Set-ItemProperty -Path Registry::HKU\Default_User\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\ContentDeliveryManager -Name SystemPaneSuggestionsEnabled -Value 0
    Set-ItemProperty -Path Registry::HKU\Default_User\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\ContentDeliveryManager -Name PreInstalledAppsEnabled -Value 0
    Set-ItemProperty -Path Registry::HKU\Default_User\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\ContentDeliveryManager -Name OemPreInstalledAppsEnabled -Value 0
    reg unload HKU\Default_User
   
    #Disables scheduled tasks that are considered unnecessary
    Write-Output "Disabling scheduled tasks"
    #Get-ScheduledTask -TaskName XblGameSaveTaskLogon | Disable-ScheduledTask -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    Get-ScheduledTask -TaskName XblGameSaveTask | Disable-ScheduledTask -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    Get-ScheduledTask -TaskName Consolidator | Disable-ScheduledTask -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    Get-ScheduledTask -TaskName UsbCeip | Disable-ScheduledTask -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    Get-ScheduledTask -TaskName DmClient | Disable-ScheduledTask -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
    Get-ScheduledTask -TaskName DmClientOnScenarioDownload | Disable-ScheduledTask -ErrorAction SilentlyContinue
}

#This includes fixes by xsisbest
Function FixWhitelistedApps {
   
    Param([switch]$Debloat)
   
    If(!(Get-AppxPackage -AllUsers | Select Microsoft.Paint3D, Microsoft.MSPaint, Microsoft.WindowsCalculator, Microsoft.WindowsStore, Microsoft.MicrosoftStickyNotes, Microsoft.WindowsSoundRecorder, Microsoft.Windows.Photos)) {
   
    #Credit to abulgatz for the 4 lines of code
    Get-AppxPackage -allusers Microsoft.Paint3D | Foreach {Add-AppxPackage -DisableDevelopmentMode -Register "$($_.InstallLocation)\AppXManifest.xml"}
    Get-AppxPackage -allusers Microsoft.MSPaint | Foreach {Add-AppxPackage -DisableDevelopmentMode -Register "$($_.InstallLocation)\AppXManifest.xml"}
    Get-AppxPackage -allusers Microsoft.WindowsCalculator | Foreach {Add-AppxPackage -DisableDevelopmentMode -Register "$($_.InstallLocation)\AppXManifest.xml"}
    Get-AppxPackage -allusers Microsoft.WindowsStore | Foreach {Add-AppxPackage -DisableDevelopmentMode -Register "$($_.InstallLocation)\AppXManifest.xml"}
    Get-AppxPackage -allusers Microsoft.MicrosoftStickyNotes | Foreach {Add-AppxPackage -DisableDevelopmentMode -Register "$($_.InstallLocation)\AppXManifest.xml"}
    Get-AppxPackage -allusers Microsoft.WindowsSoundRecorder | Foreach {Add-AppxPackage -DisableDevelopmentMode -Register "$($_.InstallLocation)\AppXManifest.xml"}
    Get-AppxPackage -allusers Microsoft.Windows.Photos | Foreach {Add-AppxPackage -DisableDevelopmentMode -Register "$($_.InstallLocation)\AppXManifest.xml"} }
}

Function CheckDMWService {

  Param([switch]$Debloat)
 
If (Get-Service -Name dmwappushservice | Where-Object {$_.StartType -eq "Disabled"}) {
    Set-Service -Name dmwappushservice -StartupType Automatic}

If(Get-Service -Name dmwappushservice | Where-Object {$_.Status -eq "Stopped"}) {
   Start-Service -Name dmwappushservice}
  }

Function CheckInstallService {
  Param([switch]$Debloat)
          If (Get-Service -Name InstallService | Where-Object {$_.Status -eq "Stopped"}) { 
            Start-Service -Name InstallService
            Set-Service -Name InstallService -StartupType Automatic
            }
        }

Write-Output "Initiating Sysprep"
Begin-SysPrep
Write-Output "Removing bloatware apps."
Start-Debloat
Write-Output "Removing leftover bloatware registry keys."
Remove-Keys
Write-Output "Checking to see if any Whitelisted Apps were removed, and if so re-adding them."
FixWhitelistedApps
Write-Output "Stopping telemetry, disabling unneccessary scheduled tasks, and preventing bloatware from returning."
Protect-Privacy
#Write-Output "Stopping Edge from taking over as the default PDF Viewer."
#Stop-EdgePDF
CheckDMWService
CheckInstallService
Write-Output "Finished all tasks."

Size:
Link: https://mega.nz/#!QcswSKAA!wWt8Ge6d7UksWkdbY0uOhRh1bpxa4cBGawWCku1RZXY




Note that a switch-less lite installer for the latest nvidia drivers for win 10 x64 is available here (v436.30)
Only graphics driver and Physx system are installed. Geforce experience is not installed.
It might be possible to run it during the installation (not tested).
Link: https://mega.nz/#!0Q8wDCLQ!iykhX2ND6fxy-hSmO4h56W-C5Nqm6fHgpBS6k0XAFFQ



and here is the link for a switch-less win10 activator (encrypted & automatic).
I encrypted it to store it more easily since some antivirus detect it as a virus. Disable your antivirus before executing the exe (it’s not a virus).
A few seconds later,it’s done.
Link: https://mega.nz/#!lZNnGCjI!z8lO3wDxUH0o0iQDSAr_ztf8ADlYnBc3Syi-kbNskno









https://www.youtube.com/embed/7Fsx-1hw0Xg?cc_load_policy=1&cc_lang_pref=en
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24xRFPGMImY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H3Ioxh3OTSU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17CwZmI8mUQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hAlj3odftHc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pKowWFBIuY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NQ9s7FBJL14
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHDoJi_LpwQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mSW_lKGf9us

15
Chit Chat / Re: Documentaries
« Last post by scarface on September 10, 2019, 05:30 PM »
What exactly was the nature of his illness? It must have been severe. I realize dentistry isn't cheap here, but $25,000 is ridiculously high unless we're talking something very major. The same logic applies to Bogotá at $5,000. Incidentally, medicine is Colombia is pretty advanced unless you go to a cut-rate street dentist. $5000 means he either went for top-of-the-line or had the misfortune of running into a quack dentist.
He probably needed a few implants...
16
Chit Chat / Re: Financial news and stock markets.
« Last post by scarface on September 10, 2019, 05:22 PM »
Tonight, I'm going to talk about the overvaluation of the US markets with the analysis of John Early, who is an independent advisor. He's talking about a super Bubble.


According to Early, the United States probably reached the high-water mark of its economic place in the world in the early 1950s with close to half the world's GDP and perhaps 80% of the wealth. Since then, the U.S. economy has mostly grown slower than the world. In dollar terms, 2018 U.S. GDP was about 23.9% of the world's GDP. In purchasing power parity ("PPP") terms, we are about 15.2% and China is the largest economy at 19.2%. The US share of global stock market capitalization is around 43%. With a much smaller share of the world's economic pie and faster growth abroad, 43% of the stock market pie is not justified.

Since reaching about a 20-year low in U.S. stock market relative performance in June 2008, the U.S. market has outperformed the rest of the world by about 173% or about 7.5% a year. During this 11-year stock market romp, the US economy held on to its dollar share of the pie, but declined from the 17.6% PPP share in 2008.

Using Morgan Stanley Capital International data ("MSCI") for the 43 developed and emerging stock markets and a valuation measure comparable to the PEses above, the U.S. is the most richly/overvalued stock market in the world.

Using monthly data, he thinks that model valuation suggests the market has already peaked and will trend down through September 2021 and then have a brief sharp advance to July 2022, before resuming a downtrend.



And he states "If we are in a super-bubble, as I believe, and the conviction the U.S. is a safe haven changes, it's possible the U.S. (SPY) could be the worst-performing country in the next year or two. I believe America is headed for an economic and political crisis. The euphoria of elites pulling trillions of extra dollars out of businesses as personal income and bidding asset prices above historical levels will precipitate a crisis. Yet, I expect the U.S. stock market performance will be closer to the middle of the pack in the next year or two. The following countries will likely have larger declines: Thailand (THD), Austria (EWO), Italy (EWI), New Zealand (ENZL), China (MCHI), Japan (EWJ), Sweden (EWD), Taiwan (EWT), Indonesia (EIDO) and Turkey (TUR)."

And here is a link for another article where he's talking about profit collapse...
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4255859-coming-profit-collapse
Latest data shows he could be right: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/24/analysts-now-expect-the-earnings-recession-to-last-through-the-third-quarter.html


In this context, I advise you to be cautious with stocks. I also advise you to take advantage of the recent gold stocks pullback to buy some of them. I still have a target at 70$ for Agnico Eagle mines for example.
17
Microsoft Windows / Re: Windows 7 Component Store Cleanup - Rebase
« Last post by scarface on September 10, 2019, 05:10 PM »
They will be available by the end of the week.
18
Microsoft Windows / Re: Windows 7 Component Store Cleanup - Rebase
« Last post by Vasudev on September 10, 2019, 09:56 AM »
Note that new versions of windows will be available soon.


Waiting for it.
19
Microsoft Windows / Re: Windows 7 Component Store Cleanup - Rebase
« Last post by scarface on September 10, 2019, 01:10 AM »
Note that new versions of windows will be available soon.

20
Chit Chat / Re: Documentaries
« Last post by humbert on September 09, 2019, 09:45 PM »
Apparently it was bothering some old neighbours.

Being a guest in someone's home obviously you have to go by the rules. But a neighbor? They have no right to tell you what to do if you're not on their property. And of course, you're not a woman - what you tried to do is perfectly legal.

As for the cost of the dentist, I know that it was costing 25000$ vs 5000$ in Colombia.

What exactly was the nature of his illness? It must have been severe. I realize dentistry isn't cheap here, but $25,000 is ridiculously high unless we're talking something very major. The same logic applies to Bogotá at $5,000. Incidentally, medicine is Colombia is pretty advanced unless you go to a cut-rate street dentist. $5000 means he either went for top-of-the-line or had the misfortune of running into a quack dentist.

As a French citizen, couldn't he have taken advantage of the EU's medical/dental system? As far as I know it's either free or at least very affordable, certainly more than here or possibly Colombia.

This is why Palestinians have to ask Israelis if they can open a paypal account: they will be children all their lives.

It's never occurred to me to ask Maher why he can't have his own Paypal account. I don't understand why the Israelis would deny him or any other Palestinian the privelege. He has a credit card.
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