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Financial news and stock markets.

Started by scarface, February 26, 2015, 08:28 PM

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scarface

#50
to humbert: maybe they have raised the taxes since I visited Florida in 2001, it's possible. But since 2001, the price of oil has gone up, and probably the difference of price was reduced between Europe and the US. Indeed, the US consumer is much affected by the increase in oil prices, while in France there is a mechanism which makes taxes more significant when the price of oil is low (that's the case in the meantime, and that's why the downward price of oil has not been passed on to the consumer). 


scarface

#51
I'm going to give you a brief overview of the stock markets.
As usual, stocks are crumbling today. While Shanghai earnt 0,86%, Tokyo lost 500 points, and the cac40 and the dax30 are in free fall. The cac 40 is losing 1,30% and the dax 1.82%. The causes are known with the economic crisis and the questioning of the growth in China.
The car sector is falling, except Volkswagen.




scarface

#52
Tonight, I'm going to talk about Ferrari's stock.
Ferrari has priced its stock at $52 per share for its initial public offering (IPO), reports CNBC. That means Ferrari is valued at $9.8 billion. It gained up to 15% on 21 october, topping $60.  Today, Ferrari shares traded at $51.40 down 20% from their top  and falling below $52 IPO price.




The question is: at this price, should you buy Ferrari’s stock? And for me, the answer is no. On the short term, there could be a rebound, but the fall of the stock was clearly predictable. Indeed, If we convert the valuation of the stock to the yearly production of 7000 cars, it gives 1.4 million $ per Ferrari...
So the stock is grossly overvalued. Depending on the overall market, the stock could keep plummeting in the weeks to come.

PS: A few weeks ago I recommended Vergnet, and the stock soared ever since. It is now standing at 3 euros. As for Arcelor Mittal, I was wrong since the stock climbed by 10%. However, I advise against buying it.

scarface

#53
Today, I'm going to do a message targeted for those wishing to open an account to trade Forex or binary options.
First and foremost, you have to know that 90% of individual traders or investors who trade on their own capital end up losing money, and it's particularly true concerning forex (95% of losers amongst forex investors vs 89% on equities).
In the second place, I want to warn you against choosing "blacklisted" brokers. Let's take the example of FXGM (and not FXCM which seems respectable). At first you will invest 200$ but then they will make you think that you have earnt a lot of money, their websites being just a fake casino, and finally they will lure you into investing significant sums.
Once the victim is hooked, they are just disappearing with the money. Many of these scam websites are disappearing after a few days too. And many people lost several tens of thousands of $ . Of course their sales representatives will not contact you again. They have no knowledge of financial products, but they are certainly excellent crooks.
In a rare TV report, a hidden camera was showing the premises of FXGM in Israel...and its employees, who were visibly working hard, whilst listening to music. They had probably lured another credulous victim.

The site FXGM (Don't register unless you are threatened with a gun): http://www.fxgm.com/
The headquarters of FXGM would be situated in Cyprus and its main offices are in Israel. Why Israel? Because Israeli laws are only protecting Israeli people. It means that if you are an American or a European investor, you take it in the as-s.
Tel Aviv, Israel


If you want to know if a broker is reliable, you can do a "whois". If the IP is anonymized or if the broker is situated in a tax haven (The Bahamas), just flee.

Here is a list of Blacklisted Brokers.

A
- aaafx.com
- aaoption.com
- abcbinaire.com
- abcoptions.com
- activebanque.com
- ageigerfinancial.com
- agfmarkets.com
- aldershirecapital.com
- ajbrowdercapital.com
- allianzmetrobanque.com
- alternative-markets.com
- analysis-finance.com
- astonforex.com
- astonmarkets.com
- atticusholdingsint.com
- avisoptions.com
- axel-neumann.com
B
- bancdemonaco.com
- bancmarkets.com
- banco-binario.com
- bank-partners.com
- bank2invest.com
- bankandbinary.com
- bankandcapital.com
- bankandtrader.com
- bankingbinary.com
- bankinvestcapital.com
- bankofbinary.com
- bankofmarket.com
- banks-capitals.com
- bankxp.com
- banqofbroker.com
- banqueinvest.com
- barclaysbroker.com
- bclaysmarkets.com
- bclbrokers.com
- beipartners.com
- betonspot.com
- bfmmarkets.com
- bfmvip.com
- bforbinary.com
- bforbroker.com
- bforex.com
- bforoption.com
- bfxoption.com
- bhmmarket.com
- bigoption.com
- bimgfx.com
- binairedirect.com
- binamax.com
- binareo.com
- binarinvest.com
- binaritrading.com
- binaroom.com
- binarush.com
- binary-option-web.com
- binaryforexmarket.com
- binaryfxmarket.com
- binarylowcost.com
- binarymarkets.com
- binarynvest.com
- binarystockmarket.com
- binarywallstreet.com
- binawin.com
- binoa.com
- binomaker.com
- bitc1.biz
- bitc1.com
- bitransax.com
- blue-options.com
- bnrmarkets.com
- bo-bank.com
- bo-markets.com
- bocapital.com
- bossoptions.com
- boursofx.com
- boursolev.com
- boursomarket.com
- boursoratrade.com
- brokeragecapital.com
- brokerandco.com
- brokerinternationalbank.com
- brokerofgeneve.com
- brokerofgeneve.net
- brookbourne.com
- bsf-investments.com
- bvamarket.com
- byrix.com
C
- caesartrade.com
- camfinances.com
- capitalmanagementgroup.com
- capitalmarkets.com
- carmigestion.com
- ccftrading.com
- ceafinance.net
- cedarfinance.com
- central-bourse.com
- centralebankeurope.com
- cerberusgenerale.com
- cfrcomm.org
- cfxmarkets.com
- cititrader.com
- citmarkets.com
- cityeq.com
- cityofbinary.com
- cobtrading.com
- colbertcap.com
- cooperbrennan.com
- corporatetrust-am.com
- cteqs.com
D
- daily-option.com
- deutschemarkets.com
- digitoption.com
- direct-epargne.com
- directepargne.com
E
- easyxp.com
- ebinaires.com
- edinternationales.com
- ef-investing.com
- eiffelinvest.com
- eligere.co.uk
- elyseescapital.com
- empireoption.com
- enfima.com
- epargnefacile.com
- eurobondfx.com
- eurocapinvestments.com
- euromaxfinance.com
- etlfx.com
- everyoption.com
- excellencebroker.com
- excitingmarkets.com
- expertdania-investissement.com
F
- f-financial.net
- fandcmanagement.com
- fb-one.com
- fboption.com
- feeltrade.com
- finance-tradition.net
- financial-broker.com
- financial-corporation.com
- financial-international.net
- financialbinary.com
- financialcorporate.com
- finanperf.com
- finanzasforex.com
- finchmarkets.com
- fmtrader.com
- fobtrading.com
- forex4you.com
- forextrada.com
- forextradition.com
- forex-metal.com
- fortuneoinvest.com
- fp-management.com
- frxbanque.com
- fsi-union.com
- ftg-gmbh.com
- ftradition.com
- futurmarket.com
- fxbfinances.com
- fxbtrade.com
- fxcapitalbank.com
- fxcast.com
- fxcmanagement.com
- fxglcapital.com
- fxgm.com
- fxntrade.com
- fxobank.com
G
- ga-finance.net
- gcitrading.com
- generalbank-invest.com
- generaloptions.com
- genevabroker.com
- getbinary.com
- gfbcapital.com
- gfboptions.com
- gfmtrader.com
- gfssecurities.com
- gftrades.com
- globalmarkets.bg
- globaltrader365.net
- gmtinvest.com
- gmtmarkets.com
- gmtprivatebroker.com
- golden-bank.com
- goldwinmarket.com
- good-option.com
- greycorppartners.com
- gtimarkets.com
- gtoptions.com
H
- haussman-invest.com
- hcifund.com
- helmutstuder.com
- hftpro.com
- hermay.co.uk
- highfrequency.trade
I
- iam-trader365.com
- ibank-capital.com
- ibcfx.com
- icbci.com.hk
- icmarkets.com
- idmarkets.com
- igfmarket.com
- igm-financial.com
- igm-markets.com
- ihforex.com
- ikkotrader.com
- ilq.com.vn
- imcbroker.com
- ingbroker.com
- inglobaltrade.com
- insta-trading.com
- instaforex.com
- integralbroker.com
- intercomarkets.com
- intercontinentalmarkets.com
- invest-binary.com
- investcapitalmarkets.com
- investing-secure-international.com
- ioptioneu.com
- istockcapital.com
- itcfx.com
- itnfx.com
- itradestation.com
- ivoryoption.com
- ixitrade.com
J
- jbc-pro.com
- josef-lang.com
- justrader.com
K
- kd-markets.com
- ksftrade.com
- ksftrader.com
L
- lambergkapital.com
- laplateformedubinaire.com
- leaderoption.com
- legendoptions.net
- libertybinary.com
- livetrader.eu
- lo-bank.com
- londonb.com
M
- markets-capital.com
- markets-central.com
- markets-investment.com
- metatrada.com
- mhoptions.com
- miller-options.com
- monatrade.com
- money-bk-ge.com
- motionforex.com
- mrgmarkets.com
- mutiwinplan.com
- mutual-broker.com
- mybrokercorp.com
- myselftrade.com
N
- nakitrade.com
- natexiss-conseil.com
- nationaldebtplan.co.uk
- netcfd.com
- netotrade.com
- newton-invest.com
- newtradefx.com
- nextbinary.com
- no1options.com
- nordextrading.com
- nowoption.com
- nrgbinary.com
O
- oakwoodfs.com
- obinarycorporation.com
- obmarkets.com
- obroker.com
- okboptions.com
- onetradeoption.com
- opteck.com
- optimarkets.com
- option-bank.com
- option-market.com
- option-world.com
- optionbanking.com
- optionderivative.com
- optiongiants.com
- optionet.com
- optionmint.com
- optionprim.com
- optionprime.com
- optionrama.com
- options-forex.com
- options-tradings.com
- optionside.com
- optionsmarter.com
- optionsxo.com
- optionyard.com
- ora-mer.com
- oxfordmarkets.com
- optionwebs.com
P
- paydayparty.co.uk
- phenixoption.com
- planetoption.com
- prestigebanq.com
- primefms.com
- priva-trade.com
- privatbankinvest.com
- privilege-market.com
- privilegetrading.com
- pro-binary.com
- proinvest.trade
Q
R
- redfordoption.com
- redwoodoptions.com
- regaloptions.com
- rfxt.com
- richardsandcompany.net
- royal-broker.com
- royaldebank.com
S
- safe24options.com
- saitomergers.com
- saphircapital.com
- sccuonline.co.uk
- scottoption.com
- secureinvest.org
- selectcv.ca
- sequoia-markets.com
- shield-bank.com
- shieldscorppartners.com
- silver-phoenix-investments.com
- silverinvestmentcapital.com
- simpletradelimited.com
- solutionscapitals.com
- soxange.com
- startoptions.com
- strategiesolution.com
- strongoptions.com
- success-broker.com
- sunbirdfx.com
- supremebinary.com
- sycamoreoptions.com
T
- technopers.com
- timebinary.com
- tiptopoptions.com
- titantrade.com
- tmarkets.com
- tntoptions.com
- tradaxa.com
- tradecall-invest.com
- tradecapital.net
- tradect.com
- tradefx.com
- tradeofbroker.com
- tradequicker.com
- trader-invest.com
- trader369.com
- tradereasy.com
- traderplace.com
- tradersking.com
- tradersleader.com
- traderush.com
- traderxp.com
- tradignition.com
- trading-markets-capital.com
- tradingtechnologies.com
- tradmaker.com
- triomphecapital.com
- triumphoption.com
U
- ubinary.com
- ubtforex.com
- ukoptions.com
- universalbourse.com
- ubs-pb.com
V
- vankartrading.com
- vaultoptions.com
- versaillesfinances.com
- vipbinary.com
- vpoption.com
W
- wagnercapitalgroup.com
- wakamylibman.com
- white-miller-associates.com
- winn-trade.com
- winntrade.net
- winobin.com
- world-tradeinvests.com
- worldtradeoption.com
- worldtrading365.com
X
- xfr-invest.com
- xfroptions.com
- xpertmarket.com
- xpmarkets.com
Y
- youtradefx.com
Z
- zebrainvest.com
- zeoption.com
- zoomoption.com
- zulutrade.com
0
- 01binarygroup.com
- 01broker.com
1
2
- 2251ws.com
- 24hcapital.com
- 24xp.com
- 2options.com
3
- 360capitalmarkets.com
4
- 4investcapital.com
- 4xp.com
5
- 50option.com
- 5markets.com
6
- 6option.com
7
- 77options.com

scarface

#54
Well, it seems I was right about Ferrari's stock. Its price kept tumbling and today the stock price fell more than 4% to close at $46.00. At today's closing, the price is 10% below my month-old warning.

scarface

#55
Once again, the markets are crumbling...
In fact, markets are tumbling as Draghi disappoints investors, dashing expectations that the European Central Bank would pump more new money into the eurozone economy each month. And I find this rather positive.




A few weeks ago, I told you to keep away from the stock Arcelor mittal. After a fall of 8% yesterday, its share price is dropping again today...



scarface

#56
Today, European shares and oil are rising between 1.6% and 2.5% in mid-session, regaining some of the ground lost during the previous sessions, and Wall Street is expected in positive territory in a context where investors hold their breath before the monetary policy decision of the Federal Reserve, scheduled for Wednesday.



scarface

#57
Today, the European stock markets fell during the last hour of the session.


Wall street was rising in the middle of the afternoon but at the closing in Europe it was flat.
Some analysts were predicting a rally for Christmas but I think that we the recent downward trend may continue.
There are more and more concerns that the action of the central banks, rather than fundamentals, are driving the markets and that once certain fundamentals re-establish themselves, the stock markets may fall. The fall in oil price is a good indicator of the economic activity, and it just keep sliding.
This morning, when I saw that the Dax was gaining 1,5% I wanted to invest on the Dax double short but I was a bit tired, I didn't do it. I was also preparing the conference with the photos of the paintings. Well, tonight it closed down 1%.

There are also worries concerning the health of the banks:
Europe's 10 biggest banks announced 130,000 job cuts since June, amidst regulation, anaemic economic growth and technology changes. All this will force banks across Europe to find more savings in 2016, with jobs likely to be the biggest casualty, according to investors and analysts.
Ten of the region's biggest banks have announced staff cuts of 130,000 since June, according to data compiled by Reuters more than the total number of job losses announced by those banks in 2013 and 2014. But investors believe the industry will need to slim down further and faster to boost profits.
In the US, the economic context is also quite bad: Morgan Stanley will eliminate 1,200 jobs, including 470 fixed-income and commodities traders and salespeople, as Wall Street’s outlook for its debt-markets businesses dims.
But the following news is perhaps the straw that breaks the camel’s back:
Portugal has agreed a â,¬2.2bn state rescue for Banco International do Funchal (Banif), splitting the Madeira-based lender into “good” and “bad” banks and selling its healthy assets to Spain’s Santander for â,¬150m in the country’s second bank bailout in less than 18 months.



Today there has also been the usual interview with the manager Olivier Delamarche. This time he almost fought with his interlocutor. Even the journalist Sommerer was a bit abashed by this interview. Delamarche has a pessimistic and yet realistic vision of the economy and the markets. For him, the markets are very expensive and fundamentally they would normally be much lower. But his interlocutor was a bit bullish for 2016, stating the US economy is in good shape with a 3% growth, but Delamarche did not really like this analysis, saying that 20% of unemployment in the US according to the LBS were not reflecting a significant recovery.
You can watch it here: http://bfmbusiness.bfmtv.com/mediaplayer/video/olivier-delamarche-vs-frederic-rollin-12-comment-les-marches-ont-ils-accueilli-la-hausse-des-taux-de-la-fed-2112-722833.html


scarface

#58
After a brief passage in the green during the morning, the European markets are now sliding. The cac40 is losing 0,50%, the dax 0,35%.


scarface

#59
A steep correction is expected on the markets.


Markets are crumbling because there has been a crash of 7% in China. Trading is suspended on both Shanghai and Shenzen markets. I expected such a crash and I sold some equities last week. I invested on the dax double short and took profit this morning. Caution is advised for the moment.